diff --git a/components/analytics/PredictionsChart.tsx b/components/analytics/PredictionsChart.tsx
index 6608128..75b93e6 100644
--- a/components/analytics/PredictionsChart.tsx
+++ b/components/analytics/PredictionsChart.tsx
@@ -79,24 +79,28 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
   const [predictions, setPredictions] = useState<PredictionsOverview | null>(
     null,
   );
+  const [baselinePredictions, setBaselinePredictions] = useState<PredictionsOverview | null>(
+    null,
+  );
   const [stockPredictions, setStockPredictions] =
     useState<StockPredictionsResponse | null>(null);
   const [loading, setLoading] = useState(true);
+  const [isSimulating, setIsSimulating] = useState(false);
   const [daysAhead, setDaysAhead] = useState(7);
   const [activeTab, setActiveTab] = useState<"overview" | "stock">("overview");
   const [simulationFactor, setSimulationFactor] = useState(0);
   const [committedSimulationFactor, setCommittedSimulationFactor] = useState(0);
   const { toast } = useToast();
 
-  const fetchPredictions = async () => {
+  // Fetch baseline predictions (simulation factor = 0)
+  const fetchBaseline = async () => {
     try {
       setLoading(true);
-      // Convert percentage (e.g. 50) to factor (e.g. 0.5)
-      const factor = committedSimulationFactor / 100;
       const [overview, stock] = await Promise.all([
-        getPredictionsOverviewWithStore(daysAhead, timeRange, factor),
+        getPredictionsOverviewWithStore(daysAhead, timeRange, 0),
         getStockPredictionsWithStore(timeRange),
       ]);
+      setBaselinePredictions(overview);
       setPredictions(overview);
       setStockPredictions(stock);
     } catch (error) {
@@ -111,9 +115,43 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
     }
   };
 
+  // Fetch simulated predictions (without full reload)
+  const fetchSimulation = async (factor: number) => {
+    if (factor === 0) {
+      // Use cached baseline
+      setPredictions(baselinePredictions);
+      return;
+    }
+
+    try {
+      setIsSimulating(true);
+      const overview = await getPredictionsOverviewWithStore(daysAhead, timeRange, factor / 100);
+      setPredictions(overview);
+    } catch (error) {
+      console.error("Error fetching simulation:", error);
+      toast({
+        title: "Error",
+        description: "Failed to load simulation",
+        variant: "destructive",
+      });
+    } finally {
+      setIsSimulating(false);
+    }
+  };
+
+  // Fetch baseline on initial load or when daysAhead/timeRange changes
   useEffect(() => {
-    fetchPredictions();
-  }, [daysAhead, timeRange, committedSimulationFactor]);
+    fetchBaseline();
+    setCommittedSimulationFactor(0);
+    setSimulationFactor(0);
+  }, [daysAhead, timeRange]);
+
+  // Fetch simulation when committed slider value changes
+  useEffect(() => {
+    if (baselinePredictions) {
+      fetchSimulation(committedSimulationFactor);
+    }
+  }, [committedSimulationFactor]);
 
   const getConfidenceColor = (confidence: string) => {
     switch (confidence) {
@@ -145,27 +183,37 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
     }
   };
 
-  const simulatedData = useMemo(() => {
+  // Combine baseline and simulated data for overlay chart
+  const chartData = useMemo(() => {
     if (!predictions?.sales?.dailyPredictions) return [];
-    return predictions.sales.dailyPredictions.map((d: any) => ({
+
+    const baselineData = baselinePredictions?.sales?.dailyPredictions || [];
+    const simulatedDailyData = predictions.sales.dailyPredictions;
+
+    return simulatedDailyData.map((d: any, idx: number) => ({
       ...d,
       formattedDate: format(new Date(d.date), "MMM d"),
-      value: d.predicted,
-      orders: d.predictedOrders || 0, // Ensure orders exist
+      simulated: d.predicted,
+      baseline: baselineData[idx]?.predicted ?? d.predicted,
+      orders: d.predictedOrders || 0,
     }));
-  }, [predictions]);
+  }, [predictions, baselinePredictions]);
+
+  // Keep simulatedData for export compatibility
+  const simulatedData = chartData;
 
   const handleExportCSV = () => {
     if (!simulatedData.length) return;
 
     // Create CSV headers
-    const headers = ["Date", "Predicted Revenue", "Orders", "Confidence"];
+    const headers = ["Date", "Baseline Revenue", "Simulated Revenue", "Orders", "Confidence"];
 
     // Create CSV rows
     const rows = simulatedData.map(d => [
       format(new Date(d.date), "yyyy-MM-dd"),
-      d.predicted.toFixed(2),
-      d.orders || "", // Provide fallback if orders is undefined
+      d.baseline?.toFixed(2) || "",
+      d.simulated?.toFixed(2) || "",
+      d.orders || "",
       predictions?.sales?.confidence || "unknown"
     ]);
 
@@ -257,11 +305,11 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
             <Button
               variant="outline"
               size="icon"
-              onClick={fetchPredictions}
-              disabled={loading}
+              onClick={fetchBaseline}
+              disabled={loading || isSimulating}
             >
               <RefreshCw
-                className={`h-4 w-4 ${loading ? "animate-spin" : ""}`}
+                className={`h-4 w-4 ${loading || isSimulating ? "animate-spin" : ""}`}
               />
             </Button>
           </div>
@@ -532,10 +580,15 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
                     </Button>
                   </CardHeader>
                   <CardContent>
-                    <div className="h-[300px] w-full mt-4">
+                    <div className="h-[300px] w-full mt-4 relative">
+                      {isSimulating && (
+                        <div className="absolute inset-0 flex items-center justify-center bg-background/50 z-10">
+                          <RefreshCw className="h-6 w-6 animate-spin text-muted-foreground" />
+                        </div>
+                      )}
                       <ResponsiveContainer width="100%" height="100%">
                         <AreaChart
-                          data={simulatedData}
+                          data={chartData}
                           margin={{
                             top: 5,
                             right: 10,
@@ -544,15 +597,27 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
                           }}
                         >
                           <defs>
-                            <linearGradient id="colorValue" x1="0" y1="0" x2="0" y2="1">
+                            <linearGradient id="colorBaseline" x1="0" y1="0" x2="0" y2="1">
                               <stop
                                 offset="5%"
-                                stopColor={simulationFactor !== 0 ? "#10b981" : "#8884d8"}
+                                stopColor="#8884d8"
+                                stopOpacity={0.6}
+                              />
+                              <stop
+                                offset="95%"
+                                stopColor="#8884d8"
+                                stopOpacity={0}
+                              />
+                            </linearGradient>
+                            <linearGradient id="colorSimulated" x1="0" y1="0" x2="0" y2="1">
+                              <stop
+                                offset="5%"
+                                stopColor="#10b981"
                                 stopOpacity={0.8}
                               />
                               <stop
                                 offset="95%"
-                                stopColor={simulationFactor !== 0 ? "#10b981" : "#8884d8"}
+                                stopColor="#10b981"
                                 stopOpacity={0}
                               />
                             </linearGradient>
@@ -578,16 +643,32 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
                               borderColor: "hsl(var(--border))",
                               borderRadius: "var(--radius)",
                             }}
-                            formatter={(value: number) => [formatGBP(value), "Revenue"]}
+                            formatter={(value: number, name: string) => [
+                              formatGBP(value),
+                              name === "baseline" ? "Baseline" : "Simulated"
+                            ]}
                           />
+                          {/* Always show baseline as solid line */}
                           <Area
                             type="monotone"
-                            dataKey="value"
-                            stroke={simulationFactor !== 0 ? "#10b981" : "#8884d8"}
-                            fillOpacity={1}
-                            fill="url(#colorValue)"
-                            strokeDasharray={simulationFactor !== 0 ? "5 5" : "0"}
+                            dataKey="baseline"
+                            stroke="#8884d8"
+                            fillOpacity={committedSimulationFactor !== 0 ? 0.3 : 1}
+                            fill="url(#colorBaseline)"
+                            strokeWidth={committedSimulationFactor !== 0 ? 1 : 2}
                           />
+                          {/* Show simulated line when simulation is active */}
+                          {committedSimulationFactor !== 0 && (
+                            <Area
+                              type="monotone"
+                              dataKey="simulated"
+                              stroke="#10b981"
+                              fillOpacity={0.6}
+                              fill="url(#colorSimulated)"
+                              strokeDasharray="5 5"
+                              strokeWidth={2}
+                            />
+                          )}
                         </AreaChart>
                       </ResponsiveContainer>
                     </div>
@@ -728,6 +809,6 @@ export default function PredictionsChart({
           </div>
         )}
       </CardContent>
-    </Card>
+    </Card >
   );
 }
diff --git a/public/git-info.json b/public/git-info.json
index 5a0a401..04840d9 100644
--- a/public/git-info.json
+++ b/public/git-info.json
@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
 {
-  "commitHash": "02ba4b0",
-  "buildTime": "2026-01-12T03:57:23.436Z"
+  "commitHash": "5d9f8fa",
+  "buildTime": "2026-01-12T04:07:03.023Z"
 }
\ No newline at end of file